Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.037180 0.040464 0.043771 0.047344 0.051089 0.054892 0.059041
2025-11-09 0.031464 0.036282 0.041295 0.046877 0.052895 0.059167 0.066174
2025-11-16 0.027219 0.033104 0.039414 0.046626 0.054588 0.063061 0.072711
2025-11-23 0.024918 0.031739 0.039239 0.047998 0.057854 0.068515 0.080834
2025-11-30 0.022888 0.030440 0.038940 0.049060 0.060637 0.073336 0.088189
2025-12-07 0.020966 0.029072 0.038400 0.049706 0.062834 0.077414 0.094650
2025-12-14 0.019028 0.027515 0.037497 0.049805 0.064301 0.080586 0.100027
2025-12-21 0.017907 0.026850 0.037566 0.050971 0.066941 0.085050 0.106836
2025-12-28 0.015953 0.025000 0.036084 0.050184 0.067208 0.086715 0.110389
2026-01-04 0.014692 0.023942 0.035498 0.050410 0.068616 0.089659 0.115381
2026-01-11 0.013773 0.023262 0.035329 0.051100 0.070542 0.093183 0.121026
2026-01-18 0.012930 0.022625 0.035168 0.051759 0.072401 0.096608 0.126543
2026-01-25 0.011149 0.020603 0.033155 0.050061 0.071375 0.096624 0.128097
2026-02-01 0.010005 0.019399 0.032156 0.049599 0.071834 0.098390 0.131708
2026-02-08 0.009040 0.018384 0.031356 0.049349 0.072524 0.100414 0.135612
2026-02-15 0.008729 0.018327 0.031846 0.050773 0.075315 0.104989 0.142580
2026-02-22 0.008335 0.018114 0.032101 0.051875 0.077690 0.109059 0.148948
2026-03-01 0.007836 0.017698 0.032044 0.052544 0.079503 0.112436 0.154483
2026-03-08 0.007205 0.017022 0.031586 0.052647 0.080573 0.114886 0.158890
2026-03-15 0.006938 0.016926 0.031948 0.053852 0.083061 0.119091 0.165436
2026-03-22 0.006137 0.015865 0.030859 0.053039 0.082902 0.119989 0.167936
2026-03-29 0.005673 0.015349 0.030546 0.053273 0.084093 0.122560 0.172478
2026-04-05 0.005361 0.015080 0.030587 0.053987 0.085906 0.125907 0.177971